INTEGRATED ANNUAL
REPORT 2020

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OUR MATERIAL RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES

The matters included in our integrated annual report are principally aimed at providers of financial capital in order to support their financial capital allocation assessments.

However, the interests of the providers of financial capital are largely aligned with other key stakeholders because they are also focused on the creation of value over the long term.

DETERMINATION OF MATERIALITY

In determining which matters are material for disclosure in our integrated annual report, we have considered whether the matter substantively affects, or has the potential to substantively affect, our strategy, our business model or the forms of capital we utilise and ultimately our ability to create value over time.


MATERIAL RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES

We evaluated and prioritised our material risks and opportunities, which are depicted in the heatmap below. The specific risks and opportunities within each risk landscape (in order of assessed residual risk), their potential impact and the group’s risk responses are noted below.

TSOGO SUN HOTELS’ RISK AND OPPORTUNITY LANDSCAPE

RISK MATTERS

         

STRENGTH OF CURRENT RISK RESPONSES

1     Macro-economic environment 6     Capacity         Very good       Weak
2     Crime, safety, security and health 7     Local authority capability         Good       Unsatisfactory
3     Missed opportunities 8     Credit risk         Satisfactory        Uncontrollable
4     Regulatory change and compliance 9     Human resources                  
5     Portfolio management and product relevance 10     Cyber, IT and information management                  

PRINCIPAL RISK LANDSCAPES

 
  1 MACRO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • Our operations are concentrated in South Africa and are affected by the cyclical nature of the hospitality industry
  • The perceived inability of government to improve the current depressed macroeconomic situation, the Moody’s downgrade and the constrained growth in the government sector may lead to increased costs of funding, which leads to reduced income and lower profitability
  • Exchange rate volatility impacts occupancy in foreign tourism, particularly business travel, leisure and the conferencing market
  • The COVID-19 national lockdown has had a devastating impact on the local macro-economic environment. The closure of borders and persistent travel restrictions to curb infection rates have had a sever negative impact on our revenues and profitability
   
  • Revise strategic priorities
  • Review organisational structures
  • Further focus on cost reduction
    to limit cash burn
  • Renewed and focused marketing
    and promotions
  • Reward programmes
 
 

Strength of risk response: Good

Magnitude of impact: Severe

Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain

Risk rating: Extreme

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY

 

ORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  2 CRIME, SAFETY, SECURITY AND HEALTH
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • Travellers’ fears of exposure to contagious diseases, such as COVID-19, could reduce the number of people willing to fly or travel in future, particularly if new significant disease outbreaks occur or threaten to occur. Inter-provincial and international travel are vital to our business and the current travel restrictions have meant that occupancy levels remain extremely low
  • With a number of our hotels located in urban city centres, where there is a perceived increased risk of infection, many customers may choose not to travel to these hotspots, further negatively impacting trading
   
  • Phased reopening of hotels to actively manage the oversupply of hotel stock in the market
  • Operate all hotels on a skeletal staff structure and reduce cost base to limit cash burn
  • Implement enhanced health and safety procedures to assist in alleviating our guests’ fears about travel and staying at our hotels
 
 

Strength of risk response: Uncontrollable

Magnitude of impact: Major

Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain

Risk rating: Extreme

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY

 

ORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  3 MISSED OPPORTUNITIES
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • The group may fail to identify acquisition opportunities or may pursue transactions that prove to be unsuccessful or strain or divert its resources
  • From time to time, the group considers the acquisition of complementary businesses or assets where the opportunity is presented to do so at attractive prices. In the current environment, where cash resources and prudently managing debt are of paramount importance, it is more likely that the group will forgo attractive business opportunities unless alternative funding structures, such as the use of equity, for example, are thoroughly explored
   
  • Proper and robust evaluation of all new opportunities
  • Monitoring returns on new businesses
  • Consider alternative financing structures to acquire attractive business opportunities given the scarcity of cash resources
 
 

Strength of risk response: Satisfactory

Magnitude of impact: Significant

Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain

Risk rating: Extreme

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

FINANCIAL STRENGTH AND DURABILITY

 

INORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  4 REGULATORY CHANGE AND COMPLIANCE
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • As a multinational business, Tsogo Sun Hotels is subject to a wide range of legislation, which is monitored on an ongoing basis. Any breach of compliance with legislation could result in fines or sanctions that affect our profitability and may have adverse reputational consequences. Refer here for details relating to the group’s regulatory compliance
   
  • Submit comments to law makers through formal comment structures
  • Robust compliance procedures
  • Engage law makers through employer and industry bodies
  • Litigate where required
  • Comprehensive B-BBEE strategy
 
 

Strength of risk response: Satisfactory

Magnitude of impact: Significant

Likelihood of occurrence: Likely

Risk rating: High

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

DELIVER TO OUR BENEFICIARIES

 

REGULATORY COMPLIANCE

 

 
  5 PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AND PRODUCT RELEVANCE
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • For our hotel businesses, ensuring the ability to adapt to stay relevant to consumers may require additional research and development and marketing, which would drive up costs, as well as capex and refurbishment expenses incurred to act on research findings. As such, the group may be required to assume development risk to enhance or protect the value of its portfolio base
   
  • Overview of markets
  • Interaction with local authorities
  • Investment in facilities and maintenance capex to ensure relevance
  • Market research to timeously spot trends
  • Partnerships with other leisure suppliers
  • Social media interaction
 
 

Strength of risk response: Satisfactory

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Possible

Risk rating: Moderate

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

 

ORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  6 CAPACITY
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • The group’s hotel properties are subject to leases or management contracts without guaranteed renewal or successful renegotiation
  • In the absence of renewal options exercisable by the group, there can be no guarantee that all or any of the group’s leases and management contracts will be renewed upon their expiry. There can also be no guarantee that the terms of any leases or management contracts that are renewed will be as favourable to the group as the terms currently in place
   
  • Continuous engagement with hotel owners to secure contract renewals on attractive contractual terms
  • Strong Manco with experienced management team and central resources
  • Attractive management fee structure
 
 

Strength of risk response: Satisfactory

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Likely

Risk rating: Moderate

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

FINANCIAL STRENGTH AND DURABILITY

 

ORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  7 LOCAL AUTHORITY CAPABILITY
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • Service delivery, limited infrastructure investment and funding challenges at South Africa’s municipalities have compounded their capacity to supply water and electricity to ratepayers
  • Inconsistent water supply and unreliable electricity provision affect the operational capability of hotels to provide consistent services to guests
  • Municipalities and utility providers also increase rates, property taxes, water and electricity to fund their own shortfalls, placing an additional cost burden on the returns to shareholders
   
  • Demand-side management programmes to reduce consumption
  • Water handling/storage capacity for emergency supply
  • Self-reliance on generators for emergency electricity supply
 
 

Strength of risk response: Satisfactory

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain

Risk rating: High

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

 

ORGANIC GROWTH

 

 
  8 CREDIT RISK
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • An uncertain economic environment impacts our business
  • A challenging economic climate impacts the risk of customer defaults
   
  • Robust debtors’ management programme
  • Regularly monitor and identify non-serviceability of debtors
 
 

Strength of risk response: Good

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Possible

Risk rating: Moderate

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

FINANCIAL STRENGTH AND DURABILITY

 

DELIVER TO OUR BENEFICIARIES

 

 
  9 HUMAN RESOURCES
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • The group’s business is labour intensive and, therefore, its success largely depends on its ability to attract, train, motivate and retain a sufficient number of qualified and skilled employees to run its operations
  • If the group cannot attract and retain a sufficient number of qualified employees, its ability to effectively compete with its peers and its operations, profitability, cash flows and financial condition could be materially affected
   
  • Retention of staff through appropriate remuneration structures
  • Engage with and empower staff
  • Fast track and develop talented staff
  • Performance-driven culture
  • Focused employment equity strategy
  • Labour rate parity
 
 

Strength of risk response: Good

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Unlikely

Risk rating: Moderate

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

SKILLED HUMAN RESOURCES

 

DELIVER TO OUR BENEFICIARIES

 

 
  10 CYBER, IT AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
     
       
 

Specific risks we face

   

Risk responses

   

Associated strategic opportunities

 
  • Our operations, including in particular online booking and hotel management systems, partially depend on our IT systems
  • The performance and reliability of these systems and the group’s technology are critical to its reputation and ability to attract, retain and service customers
  • Any disruption in the group’s ability to provide the use of its reservation system to customers, including as a result of software or hardware issues related to the reservation system, could result in customer dissatisfaction and harm our reputation and business
   
  • Improved IT security and cyber awareness campaign
  • Payment card industry standard compliance
  • Website re-write complete and secure online payment gateway
  • Increased IT auditing and assurance (internal and external)
  • Backup IT systems for business critical systems generally in different geographies and restores tested bi-annually for core solutions
  • Continuous maintenance of hardware and databases to ensure warranties remain in order
  • Failovers and manual procedures to support any possible information technology downtime limits impact on the guest and reputation
 
 

Strength of risk response: Good

Magnitude of impact: Moderate

Likelihood of occurrence: Possible

Risk rating: Moderate

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE

 

PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

 

REGULATORY COMPLIANCE

 

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