OUR MATERIAL RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES
The matters included in our integrated annual report are principally aimed
at providers of financial capital in order to support their financial capital
allocation assessments.
However, the interests of the providers of financial capital are largely aligned with other key stakeholders because they are also
focused on the creation of value over the long term.
DETERMINATION OF MATERIALITY
In determining which matters are material for disclosure in our integrated annual report, we have considered whether the
matter substantively affects, or has the potential to substantively affect, our strategy, our business model or the forms of
capital we utilise and ultimately our ability to create value over time.
MATERIAL RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES
We evaluated and prioritised our material risks and opportunities, which are depicted in the heatmap below. The specific risks
and opportunities within each risk landscape (in order of assessed residual risk), their potential impact and the group’s risk
responses are noted below.
TSOGO SUN HOTELS’ RISK AND OPPORTUNITY LANDSCAPE
RISK MATTERS |
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STRENGTH OF CURRENT RISK RESPONSES |
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Macro-economic environment |
6 |
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Capacity |
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Very good |
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Weak |
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Crime, safety, security and health |
7 |
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Local authority capability |
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Good |
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Unsatisfactory |
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Missed opportunities |
8 |
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Credit risk |
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Satisfactory |
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Uncontrollable |
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| 4 |
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Regulatory change and compliance |
9 |
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Human resources |
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| 5 |
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Portfolio management and product relevance |
10 |
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Cyber, IT and information management |
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For a detailed understanding of how we manage risk, please refer to the governance report.
PRINCIPAL RISK LANDSCAPES
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MACRO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- Our operations are concentrated in South
Africa and are affected by the cyclical
nature of the hospitality industry
- The perceived inability of government to
improve the current depressed macroeconomic
situation, the Moody’s
downgrade and the constrained growth
in the government sector may lead to
increased costs of funding, which leads
to reduced income and lower profitability
- Exchange rate volatility impacts occupancy
in foreign tourism, particularly business
travel, leisure and the conferencing market
- The COVID-19 national lockdown has
had a devastating impact on the local
macro-economic environment. The closure
of borders and persistent travel restrictions
to curb infection rates have had a sever
negative impact on our revenues and
profitability
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- Revise strategic priorities
- Review organisational structures
- Further focus on cost reduction
to limit cash burn
- Renewed and focused marketing
and promotions
- Reward programmes
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Strength of risk response: Good
Magnitude of impact: Severe
Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain
Risk rating: Extreme
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY |
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ORGANIC GROWTH |
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2 |
CRIME, SAFETY, SECURITY AND HEALTH |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- Travellers’ fears of exposure to contagious
diseases, such as COVID-19, could
reduce the number of people willing to
fly or travel in future, particularly if new
significant disease outbreaks occur or
threaten to occur. Inter-provincial and
international travel are vital to our business
and the current travel restrictions have
meant that occupancy levels remain
extremely low
- With a number of our hotels located
in urban city centres, where there is a
perceived increased risk of infection,
many customers may choose not to travel
to these hotspots, further negatively
impacting trading
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- Phased reopening of hotels
to actively manage the oversupply
of hotel stock in the market
- Operate all hotels on a skeletal
staff structure and reduce cost
base to limit cash burn
- Implement enhanced health and
safety procedures to assist in
alleviating our guests’ fears about
travel and staying at our hotels
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Strength of risk response: Uncontrollable
Magnitude of impact: Major
Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain
Risk rating: Extreme
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY |
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ORGANIC GROWTH |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- The group may fail to identify acquisition
opportunities or may pursue transactions
that prove to be unsuccessful or strain
or divert its resources
- From time to time, the group considers
the acquisition of complementary
businesses or assets where the
opportunity is presented to do so at
attractive prices. In the current
environment, where cash resources and
prudently managing debt are of paramount
importance, it is more likely that the group
will forgo attractive business opportunities
unless alternative funding structures, such
as the use of equity, for example, are
thoroughly explored
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- Proper and robust evaluation of
all new opportunities
- Monitoring returns on
new businesses
- Consider alternative financing
structures to acquire attractive
business opportunities given the
scarcity of cash resources
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Strength of risk response: Satisfactory
Magnitude of impact: Significant
Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain
Risk rating: Extreme
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY |
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INORGANIC GROWTH |
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4 |
REGULATORY CHANGE AND COMPLIANCE |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- As a multinational business, Tsogo Sun
Hotels is subject to a wide range of
legislation, which is monitored on an
ongoing basis. Any breach of compliance
with legislation could result in fines
or sanctions that affect our profitability
and may have adverse reputational
consequences. Refer here for details relating to the group’s
regulatory compliance
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- Submit comments to law makers
through formal comment structures
- Robust compliance procedures
- Engage law makers through
employer and industry bodies
- Litigate where required
- Comprehensive B-BBEE strategy
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Strength of risk response: Satisfactory
Magnitude of impact: Significant
Likelihood of occurrence: Likely
Risk rating: High
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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DELIVER TO OUR
BENEFICIARIES |
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REGULATORY
COMPLIANCE |
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5 |
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AND PRODUCT RELEVANCE |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- For our hotel businesses, ensuring
the ability to adapt to stay relevant to
consumers may require additional
research and development and marketing,
which would drive up costs, as well
as capex and refurbishment expenses
incurred to act on research findings.
As such, the group may be required
to assume development risk to enhance
or protect the value of its portfolio base
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- Overview of markets
- Interaction with local authorities
- Investment in facilities
and maintenance capex to
ensure relevance
- Market research to timeously
spot trends
- Partnerships with other
leisure suppliers
- Social media interaction
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Strength of risk response: Satisfactory
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Possible
Risk rating: Moderate
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO
CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE |
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ORGANIC GROWTH |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- The group’s hotel properties are subject
to leases or management contracts
without guaranteed renewal or
successful renegotiation
- In the absence of renewal options
exercisable by the group, there can
be no guarantee that all or any of the
group’s leases and management contracts
will be renewed upon their expiry. There
can also be no guarantee that the terms
of any leases or management contracts
that are renewed will be as favourable to
the group as the terms currently in place
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- Continuous engagement with
hotel owners to secure
contract renewals on
attractive contractual terms
- Strong Manco with experienced
management team and
central resources
- Attractive management
fee structure
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Strength of risk response: Satisfactory
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Likely
Risk rating: Moderate
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY |
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ORGANIC GROWTH |
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7 |
LOCAL AUTHORITY CAPABILITY |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- Service delivery, limited infrastructure
investment and funding challenges
at South Africa’s municipalities have
compounded their capacity to supply
water and electricity to ratepayers
- Inconsistent water supply and unreliable
electricity provision affect the operational
capability of hotels to provide consistent
services to guests
- Municipalities and utility providers also
increase rates, property taxes, water
and electricity to fund their own shortfalls,
placing an additional cost burden on the
returns to shareholders
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- Demand-side management
programmes to reduce
consumption
- Water handling/storage capacity
for emergency supply
- Self-reliance on generators for
emergency electricity supply
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Strength of risk response: Satisfactory
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Almost certain
Risk rating: High
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO
CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE |
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ORGANIC GROWTH |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- An uncertain economic environment
impacts our business
- A challenging economic climate impacts
the risk of customer defaults
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- Robust debtors’ management
programme
- Regularly monitor and identify
non-serviceability of debtors
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Strength of risk response: Good
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Possible
Risk rating: Moderate
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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FINANCIAL STRENGTH
AND DURABILITY |
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DELIVER TO OUR
BENEFICIARIES |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- The group’s business is labour intensive
and, therefore, its success largely depends
on its ability to attract, train, motivate and
retain a sufficient number of qualified and
skilled employees to run its operations
- If the group cannot attract and retain a
sufficient number of qualified employees,
its ability to effectively compete with its
peers and its operations, profitability, cash
flows and financial condition could be
materially affected
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- Retention of staff through
appropriate remuneration
structures
- Engage with and empower staff
- Fast track and develop
talented staff
- Performance-driven culture
- Focused employment
equity strategy
- Labour rate parity
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Strength of risk response: Good
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Unlikely
Risk rating: Moderate
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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SKILLED HUMAN
RESOURCES |
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DELIVER TO OUR
BENEFICIARIES |
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10 |
CYBER, IT AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT |
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Specific risks we face |
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Risk responses |
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Associated strategic opportunities |
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- Our operations, including in particular
online booking and hotel management
systems, partially depend on our
IT systems
- The performance and reliability of these
systems and the group’s technology
are critical to its reputation and ability
to attract, retain and service customers
- Any disruption in the group’s ability to
provide the use of its reservation system
to customers, including as a result of
software or hardware issues related
to the reservation system, could result in
customer dissatisfaction and harm our
reputation and business
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- Improved IT security and cyber
awareness campaign
- Payment card industry standard
compliance
- Website re-write complete and
secure online payment gateway
- Increased IT auditing and
assurance (internal and external)
- Backup IT systems for business
critical systems generally in
different geographies and restores
tested bi-annually for core solutions
- Continuous maintenance of
hardware and databases to ensure
warranties remain in order
- Failovers and manual procedures
to support any possible information
technology downtime limits impact
on the guest and reputation
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Strength of risk response: Good
Magnitude of impact: Moderate
Likelihood of occurrence: Possible
Risk rating: Moderate
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
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PRODUCT RELEVANCE TO
CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE |
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REGULATORY
COMPLIANCE |
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